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Red132
111461.1
174639.8
353843.6
Blue139
205254.8
313043.2
102349.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145152050100200250300350400132139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.11.0
54.453.4
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8
red by 6.2
2052
#13
54.80.5
51.250.7
Auto17.7
Teleop31.2
End6.0
Second
3538
#25
43.61.0
44.543.6
Auto12.3
Teleop28.2
End3.0
blue by 6.3
1023
#44
49.90.5
48.748.2
Auto10.4
Teleop30.0
End9.5
Third
1746
#45
39.81.0
42.941.9
Auto9.0
Teleop22.8
End8.0
blue by 3.4
3130
#35
43.20.5
46.646.1
Auto16.1
Teleop23.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
66%Capture oddsEarned24%Capture oddsMissed