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Qual 272016 Curie Division
Red128
151134.5
126144.9
406137.6
Blue103
188539.1
95532.8
298030.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219850150200128103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
44.90.2
43.7→44.0
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
red by 5.8
1885
#11
39.10.3
34.4→34.7
Auto7.8
Teleop24.8
End6.5
Second
4061
#12
37.60.2
34.8→35.0
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
red by 4.9
955
#72
32.80.3
33.0→33.3
Auto8.3
Teleop19.4
End5.1
Third
1511
#25
34.50.2
36.0→36.2
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End6.8
red by 3.6
2980
#51
30.90.3
31.3→31.6
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
100%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
41%Capture oddsEarned44%Capture oddsMissed