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Red139
314736.1
365636.9
19134.7
Blue54
208017.8
112323.8
445521.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11355010015013954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#37
36.92.5
38.140.6
Auto9.7
Teleop22.1
End5.0
red by 13.0
1123
#62
23.80.9
23.222.3
Auto10.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Second
3147
#65
36.12.5
31.333.8
Auto8.6
Teleop16.2
End11.4
red by 14.8
4455
#74
21.31.0
19.018.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Third
191
#44
34.72.5
32.434.9
Auto10.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
red by 16.9
2080
#69
17.80.9
20.019.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed