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Qual 292016 Curie Division
Red127
540647.7
464632.8
288339.9
Blue109
323036.4
491029.8
186825.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1279450150200127109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#5
47.70.6
43.0→43.6
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
red by 11.3
3230
#56
36.40.5
38.2→38.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End5.9
Second
2883
#18
39.90.6
42.8→43.3
Auto12.1
Teleop22.8
End4.9
red by 10.1
4910
#66
29.80.5
31.5→32.1
Auto7.3
Teleop19.8
End2.6
Third
4646
#26
32.80.6
32.5→33.1
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
red by 7.0
1868
#54
25.80.5
26.6→27.1
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed