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Qual 302016 Curie Division
Red81
300539.8
393031.3
33931.4
Blue138
361840.6
527936.5
87648.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107120020030040050060070081138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#7
39.81.7
39.0→37.3
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
blue by 8.6
876
#21
48.41.6
46.4→47.9
Auto8.4
Teleop28.7
End11.4
Second
339
#58
31.41.7
35.0→33.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
blue by 9.2
3618
#15
40.61.6
32.1→33.7
Auto13.8
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Third
3930
#23
31.31.7
31.9→30.3
Auto8.9
Teleop17.3
End5.2
blue by 5.1
5279
#19
36.51.6
36.2→37.8
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsEarned