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Red146
331044.2
37947.0
392526.7
Blue82
418836.4
32134.0
396523.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11910405015020025014682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#16
47.01.5
41.142.6
Auto12.2
Teleop26.1
End8.7
red by 10.5
4188
#59
36.41.4
41.440.0
Auto8.6
Teleop22.2
End5.6
Second
3310
#34
44.21.5
48.349.8
Auto14.6
Teleop23.1
End6.5
red by 10.3
321
#30
34.01.4
35.133.7
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.5
Third
3925
#55
26.71.5
23.725.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.8
End4.5
red by 3.6
3965
#61
23.11.4
27.125.7
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned25%Capture oddsMissed