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Red79
216844.0
408724.0
284832.0
Blue128
583421.3
63939.8
217538.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104945015020079128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#45
44.01.4
42.641.2
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
red by 4.3
639
#6
39.81.3
34.836.1
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
Second
2848
#49
32.01.4
37.536.2
Auto7.3
Teleop21.0
End3.7
blue by 6.5
2175
#24
38.51.3
36.037.3
Auto12.7
Teleop21.7
End4.2
Third
4087
#36
24.01.4
19.217.8
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.3
red by 2.7
5834
#52
21.31.3
22.223.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed15%Capture oddsEarned