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Qual 262016 Curie Division
Red142
69439.7
593328.9
446944.0
Blue85
597628.0
297438.5
601624.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939260708010011012013014014285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#28
44.03.1
40.5→43.7
Auto9.4
Teleop29.9
End4.6
red by 5.5
2974
#29
38.50.3
39.6→39.3
Auto8.3
Teleop24.9
End5.3
Second
694
#8
39.73.1
26.6→29.7
Auto9.5
Teleop25.5
End4.8
red by 11.7
5976
#53
28.00.3
25.4→25.1
Auto7.0
Teleop16.8
End4.2
Third
5933
#20
28.93.1
23.1→26.2
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.6
red by 4.0
6016
#57
24.90.3
24.5→24.2
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed