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Red121
32134.0
337425.4
333941.6
Blue105
323437.4
198342.2
589214.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10193406080120140121105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#33
41.62.2
35.237.3
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End5.0
blue by 0.6
1983
#40
42.20.6
41.241.7
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
Second
321
#30
34.01.6
33.535.1
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.5
blue by 3.4
3234
#48
37.40.6
38.138.7
Auto9.5
Teleop17.6
End10.2
Third
3374
#43
25.41.6
28.129.7
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End3.5
red by 11.2
5892
#73
14.20.6
12.212.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed12%Capture oddsMissed