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Qual 242016 Curie Division
Red120
432930.2
138928.4
16649.6
Blue129
354644.1
83634.1
527936.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97122050150200120129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#10
49.61.5
44.6→46.1
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
red by 5.5
3546
#1
44.10.1
43.1→43.0
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End5.1
Second
4329
#39
30.21.5
27.7→29.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
blue by 6.3
5279
#19
36.50.1
36.3→36.2
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
1389
#35
28.41.5
25.7→27.1
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0
blue by 5.7
836
#14
34.10.1
35.8→35.7
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsEarned96%Capture oddsEarned