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Red114
63939.8
825.8
2550.0
Blue97
491029.8
361840.6
331044.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10212205015020011497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#3
50.00.8
46.347.2
Auto11.9
Teleop24.3
End13.9
red by 5.8
3310
#34
44.21.2
49.548.3
Auto14.6
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
639
#6
39.80.8
34.034.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
blue by 0.9
3618
#15
40.61.2
33.432.1
Auto13.8
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Third
8
#27
25.80.8
21.422.2
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End5.2
blue by 4.0
4910
#66
29.81.2
32.831.5
Auto7.3
Teleop19.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
55%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed