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Red167
164037.3
1650.4
201347.0
Blue97
108644.3
131039.4
368347.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311369010011012014015016016797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#40
50.42.2
45.948.1
Auto10.9
Teleop29.6
End9.8
red by 3.3
3683
#16
47.02.6
50.147.5
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
Second
2013
#47
47.02.2
44.947.1
Auto13.8
Teleop25.9
End7.3
red by 2.7
1086
#49
44.32.6
38.435.8
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
Third
1640
#64
37.32.2
37.639.8
Auto8.3
Teleop23.7
End5.3
blue by 2.1
1310
#50
39.42.6
42.740.1
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
76%Capture oddsEarned80%Capture oddsMissed