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Red220
161953.8
205675.2
248161.2
Blue122
102349.9
46139.6
261441.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190122050100150250220122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.22.3
70.973.2
Auto20.0
Teleop43.4
End11.9
red by 25.4
1023
#44
49.90.4
46.345.9
Auto10.4
Teleop30.0
End9.5
Second
61.22.3
59.561.8
Auto17.6
Teleop37.9
End5.8
red by 19.3
2614
#43
41.90.4
43.042.5
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
Third
53.82.3
44.647.0
Auto17.5
Teleop29.3
End7.1
red by 14.3
461
#67
39.60.4
39.138.7
Auto6.4
Teleop29.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
96%Capture oddsEarned13%Capture oddsMissed