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Red125
259051.9
233844.4
24537.5
Blue157
525450.1
546049.1
2036.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123142050100200250300125157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#38
51.90.2
46.947.0
Auto12.2
Teleop32.6
End7.1
red by 1.7
5254
#22
50.11.1
46.447.5
Auto10.3
Teleop32.0
End7.9
Second
2338
#33
44.40.2
39.639.8
Auto9.3
Teleop31.1
End4.0
blue by 4.7
5460
#54
49.11.1
48.749.8
Auto9.9
Teleop31.6
End7.6
Third
245
#56
37.50.2
35.735.9
Auto10.1
Teleop23.8
End3.5
red by 0.5
20
#62
36.91.1
40.341.4
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
43%Capture oddsMissed70%Capture oddsEarned