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Red165
233844.4
245159.4
108644.3
Blue174
364151.8
125736.0
13358.2
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146145120130140160170180190165174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#11
59.41.2
55.857.0
Auto17.6
Teleop33.7
End8.1
red by 1.2
133
#29
58.20.3
57.657.9
Auto14.8
Teleop32.0
End11.3
Second
2338
#33
44.41.2
43.244.4
Auto9.3
Teleop31.1
End4.0
blue by 7.5
3641
#15
51.81.5
50.251.8
Auto10.4
Teleop36.9
End4.6
Third
1086
#49
44.31.2
43.144.3
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
red by 8.3
1257
#51
36.01.5
34.536.0
Auto10.7
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsEarned61%Capture oddsEarned