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Red126
174639.8
50350.6
546049.1
Blue145
301533.7
277149.0
105845.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15112650100200250126145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#21
50.61.1
51.750.6
Auto10.4
Teleop29.2
End11.0
red by 1.6
2771
#10
49.00.9
48.449.3
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End5.8
Second
5460
#54
49.11.1
50.249.1
Auto9.9
Teleop31.6
End7.6
red by 3.3
1058
#32
45.80.9
44.945.8
Auto9.5
Teleop25.8
End10.5
Third
1746
#45
39.81.1
40.939.8
Auto9.0
Teleop22.8
End8.0
red by 6.1
3015
#60
33.70.9
32.833.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
80%Capture oddsMissed37%Capture oddsEarned