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Red115
612132.1
354837.5
364145.9
Blue142
57337.1
368844.1
438444.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111316080100120140160180200220115142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#16
45.90.3
44.745.0
Auto10.3
Teleop31.4
End4.3
red by 1.5
4384
#54
44.41.2
45.446.6
Auto10.3
Teleop27.6
End6.5
Second
3548
#62
37.50.3
35.435.7
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End5.4
blue by 6.7
3688
#22
44.11.2
44.445.7
Auto11.5
Teleop27.8
End4.8
Third
6121
#81
32.10.3
30.630.9
Auto9.4
Teleop18.3
End4.4
blue by 5.0
573
#24
37.11.2
34.135.3
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
24%Capture oddsMissed48%Capture oddsEarned