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Red99
511442.4
376728.1
341433.1
Blue140
619331.5
515539.8
550547.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061165015020099140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#66
42.40.7
43.643.0
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
blue by 5.3
5505
#23
47.61.3
44.645.9
Auto10.1
Teleop26.9
End10.6
Second
3414
#70
33.10.7
31.330.7
Auto13.7
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 6.8
5155
#86
39.81.3
36.337.5
Auto9.8
Teleop24.4
End5.6
Third
3767
#101
28.10.7
29.328.6
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End4.7
blue by 3.5
6193
#34
31.51.3
30.331.6
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed76%Capture oddsEarned