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Red139
377036.7
546050.1
85843.9
Blue102
335742.2
515040.1
2753.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12115050100200139102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#26
50.11.1
45.846.9
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
blue by 3.3
27
#2
53.42.6
54.551.9
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
Second
858
#29
43.91.1
42.143.3
Auto8.0
Teleop30.6
End5.3
red by 1.7
3357
#43
42.22.6
46.944.3
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End5.7
Third
3770
#35
36.71.1
33.935.1
Auto8.1
Teleop18.6
End10.0
blue by 3.4
40.12.6
40.237.6
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
27%Capture oddsEarned89%Capture oddsEarned