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Red90
364137.0
519713.0
439530.8
Blue74
520426.8
609614.0
569725.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805302040601001201409074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.1
35.736.8
Auto9.7
Teleop22.8
End4.5
red by 10.2
26.81.2
21.923.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.0
End8.3
Second
30.81.1
27.728.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4
red by 5.5
5697
#24
25.31.2
20.521.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End4.8
Third
5197
#22
13.01.1
10.211.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 0.9
6096
#37
14.01.2
13.114.3
Auto2.1
Teleop10.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed