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Red85
485116.5
150424.8
345237.7
Blue71
332220.9
585325.6
615021.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915402040801001201401608571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.71.2
39.137.9
Auto9.6
Teleop23.9
End4.1
red by 12.1
5853
#11
25.60.9
23.524.4
Auto8.3
Teleop12.4
End4.9
Second
1504
#27
24.81.2
27.326.1
Auto10.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2
red by 3.7
6150
#18
21.10.9
17.118.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Third
4851
#29
16.51.2
16.715.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.1
blue by 4.4
3322
#30
20.90.9
17.118.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed