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Red140
50342.0
364150.3
543625.0
Blue139
283447.1
233734.9
569520.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15513404006008001,0001,200140139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
Unranked
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
red by 3.2
2834
Unranked
47.10.0
47.147.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
503
Unranked
42.00.0
42.042.0
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
red by 7.0
2337
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Third
5436
Unranked
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End4.1
red by 4.1
5695
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End4.3