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Red99
341433.1
571236.4
8545.7
Blue132
364145.9
213741.5
353937.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104118608014016018099132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#58
45.70.6
41.941.3
Auto9.6
Teleop32.2
End3.8
blue by 0.3
3641
#16
45.91.3
37.638.9
Auto10.3
Teleop31.4
End4.3
Second
5712
#48
36.40.6
31.330.7
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End3.2
blue by 5.1
2137
#77
41.51.3
38.639.9
Auto16.4
Teleop20.1
End5.0
Third
3414
#70
33.10.6
30.129.5
Auto13.7
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 4.7
3539
#69
37.81.3
36.737.9
Auto7.7
Teleop26.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned