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Octofinal 8-22016 Michigan State Championship
Red217
191849.2
496750.3
354641.8
Blue170
364145.9
505043.2
125033.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201158100250217170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#6
50.30.0
51.5→51.6
Auto8.7
Teleop35.7
End5.9
red by 4.3
3641
#16
45.90.1
45.9→45.9
Auto10.3
Teleop31.4
End4.3
Second
1918
#8
49.20.0
50.5→50.5
Auto15.0
Teleop26.1
End8.2
red by 6.0
5050
#15
43.20.1
43.1→43.2
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End4.4
Third
3546
#37
41.80.0
43.1→43.1
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7
red by 8.7
1250
#52
33.10.1
33.0→33.1
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End7.3