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Red121
511442.4
132222.7
377036.7
Blue155
364145.9
439143.8
587833.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9712050150200121155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#66
42.41.6
42.143.6
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
blue by 3.6
3641
#16
45.91.8
42.944.7
Auto10.3
Teleop31.4
End4.3
Second
3770
#35
36.71.6
32.333.9
Auto8.1
Teleop18.6
End10.0
blue by 7.1
4391
#21
43.81.8
37.138.9
Auto15.6
Teleop22.1
End6.1
Third
1322
#102
22.71.6
23.024.6
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End3.1
blue by 11.1
5878
#32
33.81.8
33.535.2
Auto9.3
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned33%Capture oddsEarned