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Red99
102537.7
171128.4
353638.3
Blue102
365534.7
571236.4
607529.4
64%Model gave it36%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10497608012014099102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#64
38.30.4
37.937.5
Auto12.4
Teleop23.0
End2.9
red by 1.9
5712
#48
36.40.4
34.535.0
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End3.2
Second
1025
#76
37.70.4
37.737.3
Auto5.0
Teleop24.5
End8.2
red by 3.0
3655
#56
34.70.4
32.232.7
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End2.6
Third
1711
#71
28.40.4
24.824.4
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End2.5
blue by 1.0
6075
#80
29.40.4
28.729.2
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed