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Red120
376728.1
544841.1
370730.8
Blue117
598041.4
6837.0
5136.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9212050150200120117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5448
#44
41.11.8
37.038.8
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6
blue by 0.3
41.40.3
41.441.7
Auto10.9
Teleop20.4
End10.2
Second
3707
#68
30.81.8
29.030.8
Auto8.3
Teleop18.6
End3.9
blue by 6.2
68
#79
37.00.3
37.137.4
Auto11.1
Teleop21.5
End4.4
Third
3767
#101
28.11.8
27.529.3
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End4.7
blue by 8.0
51
#42
36.10.3
33.834.2
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned26%Capture oddsEarned