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Red102
5130.6
364150.3
332220.9
Blue95
505044.6
50342.0
3357.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951575020010295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
Unranked
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
blue by 7.0
33
Unranked
57.30.0
57.357.3
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
Second
51
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
blue by 14.0
5050
Unranked
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto10.4
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Third
3322
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
blue by 21.1
503
Unranked
42.00.0
42.042.0
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
34%Capture odds93%Capture odds