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Red112
37947.0
297438.5
519933.6
Blue155
33931.4
540647.7
364150.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122122100110130140150112155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#16
47.00.7
43.442.7
Auto12.2
Teleop26.1
End8.7
blue by 3.3
50.32.4
45.948.3
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
Second
2974
#29
38.50.7
40.539.8
Auto8.3
Teleop24.9
End5.3
blue by 9.2
47.72.4
40.943.3
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
Third
5199
#50
33.60.7
33.432.7
Auto10.9
Teleop12.4
End10.3
red by 2.2
339
#58
31.42.4
32.935.2
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed46%Capture oddsMissed