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Red66
222020.3
601624.9
408724.0
Blue124
298030.9
32134.0
85846.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56121010015020066124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6016
#57
24.90.1
24.524.7
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.4
blue by 21.4
858
#17
46.30.7
43.944.6
Auto9.4
Teleop31.3
End5.6
Second
4087
#36
24.00.2
17.317.5
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.3
blue by 10.0
321
#30
34.00.7
32.733.5
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.5
Third
2220
#60
20.30.1
21.922.1
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
blue by 10.6
2980
#51
30.90.7
31.131.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed37%Capture oddsEarned