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Red130
49451.5
171848.8
152819.9
Blue180
50342.0
364150.3
543625.0
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150150130140160170180130180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
51.50.0
51.551.5
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
red by 1.2
3641
Unranked
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
Second
1718
Unranked
48.80.0
48.848.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
red by 6.8
503
Unranked
42.00.0
42.042.0
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
Third
1528
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End1.5
blue by 5.2
5436
Unranked
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End4.1