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Red200
49451.5
171848.8
152819.9
Blue27
46928.5
5130.6
57338.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15411705010020025030020027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
51.50.0
51.551.5
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
red by 12.8
573
Unranked
38.70.0
38.738.7
Auto9.7
Teleop24.7
End4.4
Second
1718
Unranked
48.80.0
48.848.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
red by 18.2
51
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Third
1528
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End1.5
blue by 8.6
469
Unranked
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto10.3
Teleop14.2
End4.0