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Red125
3357.3
24537.5
353843.6
Blue159
261441.9
364151.8
180653.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14213980100120160180125159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#53
57.30.9
56.755.8
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End11.4
red by 4.0
1806
#17
53.31.6
42.744.3
Auto13.8
Teleop35.1
End4.4
Second
3538
#25
43.60.9
43.642.7
Auto12.3
Teleop28.2
End3.0
blue by 8.3
3641
#15
51.81.6
51.352.9
Auto10.4
Teleop36.9
End4.6
Third
245
#56
37.50.9
37.636.7
Auto10.1
Teleop23.8
End3.5
blue by 4.5
2614
#43
41.91.6
41.242.8
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
58%Capture oddsMissed34%Capture oddsEarned