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Red140
546049.1
201347.0
46139.6
Blue113
458753.6
167537.7
125736.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12913280100120140160140113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#54
49.10.6
47.948.5
Auto9.9
Teleop31.6
End7.6
blue by 4.5
4587
#26
53.60.9
50.449.5
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
Second
2013
#47
47.00.6
44.845.3
Auto13.8
Teleop25.9
End7.3
red by 9.3
1675
#61
37.70.9
38.437.5
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End4.2
Third
461
#67
39.60.6
38.739.3
Auto6.4
Teleop29.8
End3.3
red by 3.6
1257
#51
36.00.9
33.232.3
Auto10.7
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
84%Capture oddsMissed78%Capture oddsMissed