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Red127
2036.9
174749.4
13358.2
Blue163
362057.4
102451.9
368347.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140162050100200250127163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#29
58.20.8
56.455.6
Auto14.8
Teleop32.0
End11.3
red by 0.7
57.40.6
51.752.3
Auto12.0
Teleop37.6
End7.8
Second
1747
#18
49.40.8
43.242.3
Auto15.1
Teleop27.5
End6.8
blue by 2.5
1024
#36
51.90.6
53.153.7
Auto13.5
Teleop32.8
End5.6
Third
20
#62
36.90.8
39.939.1
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End4.6
blue by 10.1
3683
#16
47.00.6
49.450.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned100%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
83%Capture oddsMissed98%Capture oddsEarned