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Red125
1650.4
124161.8
105845.8
Blue142
62437.5
248161.2
282633.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14414780100120160180125142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#30
61.82.0
58.656.6
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
red by 0.6
61.21.1
60.259.2
Auto17.6
Teleop37.9
End5.8
Second
16
#40
50.42.0
46.844.8
Auto10.9
Teleop29.6
End9.8
red by 12.8
624
#42
37.51.1
36.835.8
Auto8.6
Teleop26.1
End2.8
Third
1058
#32
45.82.0
44.842.8
Auto9.5
Teleop25.8
End10.5
red by 12.7
2826
#69
33.01.1
35.734.7
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
96%Capture oddsMissed60%Capture oddsMissed