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Red30
522510.0
440514.7
364128.9
Blue42
521718.2
341425.8
615216.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65490204060801001203042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#11
28.95.1
32.327.2
Auto10.0
Teleop15.5
End3.4
red by 3.1
3414
#13
25.81.5
21.419.9
Auto9.4
Teleop13.8
End2.6
Second
4405
#37
14.75.1
17.412.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End2.8
blue by 3.5
5217
#25
18.21.5
17.916.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Third
5225
#40
10.05.1
11.36.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 6.2
6152
#22
16.20.9
10.89.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed