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Red129
609731.6
353832.4
364145.9
Blue103
376728.1
516632.1
516734.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11392406080100120140160180129103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#16
45.91.1
45.146.2
Auto10.3
Teleop31.4
End4.3
red by 11.7
5167
#51
34.20.7
33.534.2
Auto9.3
Teleop19.5
End5.4
Second
3538
#92
32.41.1
31.332.4
Auto8.1
Teleop20.4
End4.0
red by 0.4
5166
#65
32.10.7
31.332.1
Auto9.5
Teleop13.9
End8.7
Third
6097
#85
31.61.1
30.531.6
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End5.1
red by 3.6
3767
#101
28.10.7
27.328.1
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsEarned20%Capture oddsEarned