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Red144
323437.6
353638.3
3356.5
Blue119
437737.4
590731.3
544841.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14310450200144119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#10
56.50.4
58.258.5
Auto8.8
Teleop37.4
End10.2
red by 15.3
5448
#44
41.10.8
39.740.5
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6
Second
3536
#64
38.30.4
37.938.3
Auto12.4
Teleop23.0
End2.9
red by 0.9
4377
#55
37.40.8
36.637.4
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End8.8
Third
3234
#47
37.60.4
37.237.6
Auto10.3
Teleop18.2
End9.1
red by 6.3
5907
#83
31.30.8
30.531.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsEarned21%Capture oddsEarned