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Red135
283447.1
364150.3
505044.6
Blue70
233734.9
50342.0
24021.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1569105020025013570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
Unranked
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
red by 8.3
503
Unranked
42.00.0
42.042.0
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
Second
2834
Unranked
47.10.0
47.147.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 12.2
2337
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Third
5050
Unranked
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto10.4
Teleop26.5
End7.6
red by 23.5
240
Unranked
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
93%Capture odds34%Capture odds