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Red115
49451.5
54842.9
171848.8
Blue71
24539.5
283230.7
439530.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157955020025011571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
51.50.0
51.551.5
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
red by 12.0
245
Unranked
39.50.0
39.539.5
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.2
Second
1718
Unranked
48.80.0
48.848.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
red by 18.0
4395
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4
Third
548
Unranked
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
red by 12.3
2832
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
54%Capture odds23%Capture odds