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Red105
332220.9
283447.1
3357.3
Blue140
505044.6
91041.6
496747.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12713950100200250105140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
57.30.0
57.357.3
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
red by 10.1
4967
Unranked
47.20.0
47.247.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
Second
2834
Unranked
47.10.0
47.147.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 2.5
5050
Unranked
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto10.4
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Third
3322
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
blue by 20.8
910
Unranked
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
50%Capture odds75%Capture odds