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Red50
364150.3
30234.7
24021.1
Blue86
233734.9
543625.0
5130.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112900501502002503005086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
Unranked
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
red by 15.3
2337
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Second
302
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End10.6
red by 4.1
51
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Third
240
Unranked
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.7
blue by 4.0
5436
Unranked
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds25%Capture odds