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Red101
364145.9
619331.5
353442.5
Blue122
515040.1
3356.5
125033.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116123050100150200250300101122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#16
45.90.9
43.842.9
Auto10.3
Teleop31.4
End4.3
blue by 10.5
33
#10
56.50.2
52.752.9
Auto8.8
Teleop37.4
End10.2
Second
3534
#20
42.50.9
39.738.8
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
red by 2.3
40.10.2
37.838.0
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5
Third
6193
#34
31.50.9
30.529.6
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End5.2
blue by 1.5
1250
#52
33.10.2
28.028.3
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
48%Capture oddsEarned50%Capture oddsEarned