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Qual 932016 Michigan State Championship
Red143
50339.6
85843.9
258635.2
Blue127
353638.3
12330.5
354641.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114110406080100140160180143127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#29
43.92.2
39.1→41.3
Auto8.0
Teleop30.6
End5.3
red by 2.1
3546
#37
41.81.3
41.2→42.5
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7
Second
503
#74
39.62.2
40.4→42.6
Auto10.6
Teleop19.0
End10.0
red by 1.3
3536
#64
38.31.3
37.6→38.9
Auto12.4
Teleop23.0
End2.9
Third
2586
#50
35.22.2
30.8→33.0
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End4.7
red by 4.7
123
#82
30.51.3
28.6→29.9
Auto10.9
Teleop14.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
33%Capture oddsEarned66%Capture oddsEarned