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Red159
438444.4
10743.9
598041.4
Blue117
361836.1
550232.0
421636.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1369350150200159117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#54
44.42.2
43.846.0
Auto10.3
Teleop27.6
End6.5
red by 7.7
4216
#63
36.81.4
34.335.7
Auto10.6
Teleop20.4
End5.7
Second
107
#45
43.92.2
44.646.8
Auto11.4
Teleop27.9
End4.6
red by 7.8
3618
#53
36.11.4
31.332.7
Auto15.1
Teleop17.8
End3.1
Third
41.42.2
37.639.8
Auto10.9
Teleop20.4
End10.2
red by 9.4
5502
#97
32.01.4
30.732.1
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
23%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsEarned