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Qual 912016 Michigan State Championship
Red94
213741.5
168438.4
516632.1
Blue130
2753.4
276749.0
607529.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051385015020025094130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#77
41.50.9
39.6→38.7
Auto16.4
Teleop20.1
End5.0
blue by 11.9
27
#2
53.40.0
52.3→52.3
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
Second
1684
#46
38.40.9
39.3→38.5
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End6.8
blue by 10.6
2767
#1
49.00.0
49.4→49.4
Auto10.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
Third
5166
#65
32.10.9
27.9→27.1
Auto9.5
Teleop13.9
End8.7
red by 2.7
6075
#80
29.40.0
28.0→28.0
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
21%Capture oddsMissed35%Capture oddsEarned