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Red118
496750.3
505331.7
468033.4
Blue116
515539.8
102537.7
437737.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116113050150200250300350118116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.4
46.346.7
Auto8.7
Teleop35.7
End5.9
red by 10.4
5155
#86
39.80.1
38.338.3
Auto9.8
Teleop24.4
End5.6
Second
4680
#93
33.40.4
33.133.5
Auto6.9
Teleop21.3
End5.2
blue by 4.4
1025
#76
37.70.1
37.437.5
Auto5.0
Teleop24.5
End8.2
Third
5053
#19
31.70.4
32.733.1
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9
blue by 5.6
4377
#55
37.40.1
34.434.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsEarned22%Capture oddsEarned