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Red150
49447.4
7046.2
587833.8
Blue125
345240.6
341433.1
520335.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11910050150200150125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#14
47.42.1
42.744.8
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
red by 6.9
3452
#36
40.61.3
38.539.8
Auto7.8
Teleop27.0
End5.8
Second
70
#7
46.22.1
39.541.6
Auto15.3
Teleop25.5
End5.5
red by 10.8
5203
#88
35.41.3
31.532.9
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End4.5
Third
5878
#32
33.82.1
30.933.1
Auto9.3
Teleop19.3
End5.2
red by 0.8
3414
#70
33.11.3
30.231.5
Auto13.7
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
32%Capture oddsEarned12%Capture oddsEarned