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Red124
354837.5
546050.1
171128.4
Blue104
233737.9
590731.3
353832.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104996080120140160124104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#26
50.10.9
42.743.6
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
red by 12.2
2337
#60
37.90.5
37.236.7
Auto9.0
Teleop23.2
End5.6
Second
3548
#62
37.50.9
34.235.1
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End5.4
red by 5.0
3538
#92
32.40.5
29.228.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.4
End4.0
Third
1711
#71
28.40.9
23.324.3
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End2.5
blue by 3.0
5907
#83
31.30.5
30.429.9
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned11%Capture oddsMissed